Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Marcos Giron		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.22	Watch
	4.5	1.21
	5.01	1.19
	4.64	1.19	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.32	1.22	Watch
	4.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.38)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
21.3%

Matteo Berrettini
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcos Giron's form might have worsened.

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 45. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 31.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Giron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Jack Draper - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
20.06.24	Matteo Berrettini - Marcos Giron	1:2
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Matteo Berrettini - Marcos Giron	1:2

Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide