Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.4
	1.35	3.18	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.27	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	3.32 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
71.5%

Alexander Shevchenko
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 46. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 103.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Navone is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Huzaifa Abdul Rehman	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLL?

Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide