Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Marin Cilic		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.07	1.74	Watch
	2.15	1.77
	2.09	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.74	Watch
	2.07	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
45.4%

Alejandro Tabilo
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marin Cilic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Marin Cilic - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 200. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 23.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tabilo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Marin Cilic - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Marin Cilic - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Almaty
18.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Maximilian Marterer - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.24	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

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