What is the expert prediction for Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Tallon Griekspoor		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.75
	2.21	1.74
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.94)	1.73 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
44.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Griekspoor: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 31. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 106.

In recent matches, Griekspoor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arnaldi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Griekspoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Arnaldi will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

The players have not played against each other recently.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Alex Molcan - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWW

Tallon Griekspoor - Matteo Arnaldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide