Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.72
	2.12	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.16	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
43.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	0%	28%

Matteo Arnaldi - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 40. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 59.

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Dallas
03.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Reilly Opelka - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
30.12.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Dallas
03.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
15.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Shang J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	Davidovich Fokina A. retired

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