Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2.11	1.81
	2.06	1.75	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.06	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
46.1%

Fabian Marozsan
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Matteo Arnaldi - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Marozsan will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 39. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 56.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Geneva
20.05.25	Karue Sell - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.08.22	Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2
ITF Tournaments
14.04.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Fabian Marozsan	2:0

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