Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Laugero L. (Ita)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.19
	1.75	2.19
	1.69	2.06	Watch
	1.78	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	2.09 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
54.8%

Luciano Darderi
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Matteo Arnaldi - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darderi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Harold Mayot - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLW?L
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
16.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.03.22	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2

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