Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Mariano Navone		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.16	1.70	Watch
	2.33	1.69
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.68
	2.24	1.73	Watch
	2.20	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
43.2%

Raphael Collignon
56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mariano Navone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Raphael Collignon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mariano Navone - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Collignon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 44. Collignon is ranked ATP: 38.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collignon could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Valentin Vacherot - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Mariano Navone - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Mariano Navone - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide