Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.7
	2.28	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
42.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Mattia Bellucci - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 68. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 49.

Bellucci has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martinez Portero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LLW

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