Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Mitchell Krueger		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.49	1.55
	2.3	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.1)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
41.9%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mitchell Krueger - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 151. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 335.

Krueger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merida Aguilar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Mitchell Krueger - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Mitchell Krueger - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide