Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Marco Trungelliti		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.63	2.35
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
60%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Trungelliti (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 76. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 139.

Trungelliti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Budkov Kjaer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.89%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
05.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWWW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

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