Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.47
	1.59	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.61	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
59.1%

Damir Dzumhur
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 97.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dzumhur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Marco Trungelliti - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide