Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.62	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.58	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.39)	2.31 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
59%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 37. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. walkover ✺
13.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?L?WW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1

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