Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.2%

Jaime Faria
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Faria will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91. Faria is ranked ATP: 107.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Jaime Faria
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Jaime Faria - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Jaime Faria - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	✺

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaime Faria