Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Nicolas Mejia		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.66	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
38.6%

Daniil Glinka
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Glinka's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nicolas Mejia - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Glinka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Glinka (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 169. Glinka is ranked ATP: 200.

Mejia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWL?

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