Match Info

Date: 25 October 2021, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.41	1.52
	2.55	1.57
	2.5	1.53
	2.88	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
37.5%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Basilashvili could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basilashvili will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Indian Wells
17.10.21	Cameron Norrie - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
15.10.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
13.10.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.10.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Indian Wells
12.10.21	Karen Khachanov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
10.10.21	Emilio Gomez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
26.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Gael Monfils - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
24.09.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
27.07.18	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2

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