Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Otto Virtanen		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.47
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)	2.38 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
60.7%

Stefano Travaglia
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Otto Virtanen - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Travaglia will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 4 - 40%). Travaglia (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 126. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 191.

Travaglia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Virtanen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Stefano Napolitano - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLL?
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Martin Landaluce - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Laslo Djere - Stefano Travaglia	✺

Otto Virtanen - Stefano Travaglia