Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Referee: Jian-Wei Y. (Chn)


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.56	1.27	Watch
			Watch
	3.54	1.27	Watch
	3.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
26.5%

Sho Shimabukuro
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Petr Bar Biryukov - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 322. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198.

In recent matches, Bar-Biryukov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shimabukuro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shimabukuro is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.57%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kokoro Isomura	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Egor Gerasimov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Erik Arutiunian - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
31.08.25	Oliver Crawford - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?WWWW

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide