Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Qinwen Zheng		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.68	2.20	Watch
	1.66	2.27	Watch
	1.65	2.30
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.60	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qinwen Zheng
57.8%

Elise Mertens
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qinwen Zheng will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zheng is ranked WTA: 54., and Mertens is ranked WTA: 19..

Zheng has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Mertens shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zheng may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Zheng in today's match, at odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Zheng has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Beijing
09.10.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Alina Charaeva - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Marie Bouzkova - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Qinwen Zheng - Anna Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya A. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Qinwen Zheng - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWW?W
- Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing
09.10.26	Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Cori Gauff - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Katie Volynets - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
WTA Singapore
25.09.26	Elise Mertens - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens	2:1

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