Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday


	Rafael Jodar		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	3.7	Watch
	1.2	3.9	Watch
	1.25	4.02
	1.23	3.95	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	3.95 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
76.3%

Lucas Poullain
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rafael Jodar - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 395. Poullain is ranked ATP: 358.

Jodar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poullain's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Enzo Wallart	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Petr Brunclik	Brunclik P. retired ✺
14.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	George Loffhagen - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WW?WW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Harry Wendelken - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches