Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Vit Kopriva		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.79
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.76	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.59)	1.81 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
47.6%

Rei Sakamoto
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vit Kopriva's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vit Kopriva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Vit Kopriva - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kopriva will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kopriva (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sakamoto (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Kopriva (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kopriva (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sakamoto (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopriva is ranked ATP: 65. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 157.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kopriva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Mariano Navone - Vit Kopriva	Kopriva V. retired ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Gustavo Heide - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?LWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
18.03.24	Rei Sakamoto - Vit Kopriva	0:2

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