Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.48	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.46	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
38.5%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 16. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Musetti won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Musetti won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLW??
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jenson Brooksby - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Quentin Halys - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
03.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
26.11.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Florence
15.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Lyon
18.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Barcelona
21.04.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2

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