Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Rinky Hijikata		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.10	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.35
	3.02	1.46
	2.92	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.41)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
31.5%

Francis Tiafoe
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hijikata will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 106. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 26.

In recent matches, Hijikata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tiafoe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Tiafoe will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hijikata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.38%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.26	Tom Gentzsch - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Arthur Fery - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Rinky Hijikata - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Jaime Faria - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
28.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Francis Tiafoe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
02.04.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP London
17.06.24	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	Hijikata R. retired
ATP US Open
03.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:3

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