Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Robert Strombachs		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
54.6%

Mathys Erhard
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Robert Strombachs - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Erhard (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Robert Strombachs will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 406. Erhard is ranked ATP: 330.

Strombachs has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Erhard's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Strombachs will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Strombachs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Robert Strombachs - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Mathys Erhard - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
30.11.25	Max Houkes - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Arthur Nagel - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Yannik Kelm - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Mirza Basic - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Mathys Erhard	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	Jay Clarke - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mathys Erhard - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.04.22	Robert Strombachs - Mathys Erhard	2:1

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