Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bucharest 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	17:00	Max Sport 1
Denmark	16:00	TV2 Play
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	16:00	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV7
Romania	17:00	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	16:00	TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	15:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Gabriel Diallo		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.71	2.25
	1.54	2.41	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
57.7%

Alex Molcan
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Gabriel Diallo - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Molcan will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 36. Molcan is ranked ATP: 189.

Recent performances by Diallo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molcan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Alex Molcan - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Billy Harris - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
19.03.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Christian Langmo - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?WW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	✺

Gabriel Diallo - Alex Molcan