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Current Win Probability
Pablo Carreno-Busta 61.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.1%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.
Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pablo Carreno Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 100.Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.
Carreno Busta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Carballes Baena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
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