Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	M+ Deportes 2, M+ Deportes 3, M+ Deportes, Movistar Deportes 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	10	1.06	Watch
	8.75	1.06	Watch
	9.07	1.05	Watch
	13.04	1.06
	8.41	1.06	Watch
	9	1.06	Watch
	9.65	1.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.7 ↑ (7)	1.06 ↓ (1.1)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
9.8%

Taylor Harry Fritz
90.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

86.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Fritz will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 89. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fritz is the clear favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LLW?
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
11.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
08.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Karen Khachanov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

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