Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Ryan Peniston		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.22	3.6	Watch
	1.24	3.62	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.2)	3.77 ↓ (4.27)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
75.4%

Moerani Bouzige
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Moerani Bouzige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ryan Peniston - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bouzige (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bouzige (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 219. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 356.

In this match, Peniston is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Peniston - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.11%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston	Peniston R. retired ✺
07.11.25	Ryan Peniston - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LWWW
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	James Duckworth - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Blake Ellis - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Renta Tokuda	Bouzige M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLL?L

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