Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Sebastian Baez		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.18
	1.39	2.91	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	2.98 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
68.1%

Stanislas Wawrinka
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sebastian Baez - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Wawrinka (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Baez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 3 - 75%). Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 50. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 98.

Recent performances by Baez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wawrinka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baez is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Baez - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Sebastian Baez - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Adam Walton - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Stanislas Wawrinka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
07.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Baez	0:2

Sebastian Baez - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide