Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.71	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.26)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
46.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 21 - 60%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 14 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 161. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 47.

Recent matches Wawrinka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wawrinka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.8%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Quentin Halys - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Fabian Marozsan - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2
ATP Acapulco
26.02.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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