Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.25	Watch
	1.27	3.81	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.53	Watch
	1.32	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	3.41 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
72.2%

Arthur Fils
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	0%	25.6%

Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Fils will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Fils is ranked ATP: 18.

Recent matches Zverev is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fils is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zverev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Zverev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Arthur Fils - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marcos Giron - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
31.10.24	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	2:1
ATP Hamburg
21.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2
ATP Halle
21.06.24	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Hamburg
29.07.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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