Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: DIRIYAH TENNIS CUP (SAUDI ARABIA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Taylor Harry Fritz		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.5	1.48
	2.63	1.49
	2.55	1.49
	2.62	1.51
	2.62	1.44
	2.72	1.46
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.15)	1.48 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
36%

Daniil Medvedev
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Medvedev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	0%	84.4%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fritz is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Medvedev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Medvedev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fritz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
Exhibition Diriyah Men
09.12.22	Cameron Norrie - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
08.12.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
19.11.22	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
17.11.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Daniil Medvedev
Exhibition Diriyah Men
09.12.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
08.12.22	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
18.11.22	Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
16.11.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
14.11.22	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
19.08.22	Daniil Medvedev - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
25.05.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Daniil Medvedev	3:1
ATP Challenger
08.06.17	Daniil Medvedev - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled

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