Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.71	2.23
	1.66	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
57.5%

Tommy Paul
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Taylor Harry Fritz will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 8. Paul is ranked ATP: 24.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 3.

Fritz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fritz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Taylor Harry Fritz - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.2%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
15.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Adam Walton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Tommy Paul - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Tommy Paul	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
19.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Acapulco
03.03.23	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Stockholm
10.11.21	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP St Petersburg
28.10.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Challenger
16.11.17	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	Paul T. retired
12.07.17	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0

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