Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.51	2.75
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.85)	2.81 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.2%

Ugo Humbert
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Humbert (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Taylor Harry Fritz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 3 - 60%). Humbert (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Humbert is ranked ATP: 24.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fritz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
18.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. retired ✺
16.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
19.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	Rune H. retired ✺
17.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Acapulco
26.02.20	Ugo Humbert - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2

Upcoming Matches