Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rio de Janeiro 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.59
	2.45	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.28	1.64	Watch
	2.28	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
39.9%

Alejandro Tabilo
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	0%	95.8%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tirante (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Tabilo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tabilo (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 92. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68.

Tirante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tabilo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
16.02.26	Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hyeon Chung - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WLWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2
ATP Cordoba
30.01.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Basel
27.10.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	✺

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide