Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Miami (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:00	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	01:00	Max Sport 1
Finland	01:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	00:00	Eurosport 1
Germany	00:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	01:00	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	00:00	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	00:00	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV3
Romania	01:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	00:00	TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	23:00	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Tomas Machac		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.95
	1.77	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.11)	1.95 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
51.3%

Jakub Mensik
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Machac's performance.

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Machac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 21. Mensik is ranked ATP: 54.

Machac in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mensik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Machac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki	Machac T. retired ✺
ATP Acapulco
01.03.25	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WW?WW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac	1:2

Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik