Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London (United Kingdom), grass - Final

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Select
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Tommy Paul		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.2
	1.35	3.05	Watch
	1.39	3.26
	1.39	3.26
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.13	Watch
	1.39	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)	3.17 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
69.8%

Lorenzo Musetti
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Musetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Musetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	0%	21.2%

Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP London
22.06.24	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
21.06.24	Jack Draper - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP London
22.06.24	Jordan Thompson - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
21.06.24	Billy Harris - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
15.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWL

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