Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Tommy Paul		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.94	1.8
	2.02	1.88
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
48%

Lorenzo Sonego
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). Sonego will win (votes: 15 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 49.8% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sonego won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Christian Garin - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
15.08.21	Tommy Paul - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Tommy Paul - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
11.08.21	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
09.08.21	Vasek Pospisil - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
09.08.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
25.07.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
23.07.21	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.21	Roger Federer - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
03.03.21	Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ITF Tournaments
30.05.15	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	0:2

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