Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Ugo Humbert		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.57	1.57
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)	1.54 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
37.9%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	0%	88.5%

Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 26. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.

Humbert is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rune is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rune may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rune is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rune will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Ugo Humbert - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Ugo Humbert - Adam Walton	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Australian Open
20.01.23	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3
ATP Basel
27.10.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.22	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2

Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide