Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Fils		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.09	Watch
	1.39	3.25
	1.37	3.00	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.38	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
69.8%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fils's form might have worsened.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Carreno-Busta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Arthur Fils - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Carreno Busta (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 23.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 20%). Carreno Busta (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 21. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93.

Carreno Busta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fils is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	Rublev A. walkover ✺
29.05.25	Jaume Munar - Arthur Fils	2:3 ✺
26.05.25	Nicolas Jarry - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WWLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Chris Rodesch	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Arthur Fils	0:2

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