Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Zizou Bergs		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	10	1.06	Watch
	9.25	1.05
	8.75	1.06	Watch
	9.9	1.06	Watch
	9.7	1.06
	9.95	1.06	Watch
	9.5	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.58 ↑ (8.65)	1.06 ↓ (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
9.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
90.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11%

89%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zizou Bergs - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 39., and Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3..

Bergs has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bergs could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Alcaraz Garfia holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bergs has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Ignacio Buse - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Vit Kopriva - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jurij Rodionov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
02.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Ignacio Buse - Zizou Bergs	✺
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Zizou Bergs - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia