Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Hungary	Arena 4


	Zizou Bergs		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.31	Watch
	4.01	1.28
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	4.03	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.04)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
26.3%

Novak Djokovic
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Zizou Bergs - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Djokovic will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bergs: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Djokovic (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Bergs (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bergs (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Djokovic (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 44. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 5.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bergs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Djokovic is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired ✺
01.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WW?WL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Jaume Munar - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
02.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW

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