Match Info

USA: NCAA - BOWL

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Air Force Falcons		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	2.5	1.59
	2.4	1.59
	2.33	1.6
	2.45	1.51
	2.51	1.58
	2.38	1.53
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.76)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
39.1%

Baylor Bears
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Air Force Falcons - Baylor Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Air Force will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Baylor will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baylor: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Preview

Baylor has currently - 6-6, has not chance of wins conference, has not chance of makes playoff, has not chance of wins national title.

Air Force is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Baylor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baylor will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Air Force to win the game is with odds 2.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
26.11.22	San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons	3:13 ✺
19.11.22	Air Force Falcons - Colorado State Rams	24:12 ✺
12.11.22	Air Force Falcons - New Mexico Lobos	35:3 ✺
05.11.22	Army Black Knights - Air Force Falcons	7:13 ✺
22.10.22	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	14:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
25.11.22	Texas Longhorns - Baylor Bears	38:27 ✺
19.11.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	28:29 ✺
12.11.22	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	3:31 ✺
05.11.22	Oklahoma Sooners - Baylor Bears	35:38 ✺
29.10.22	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Baylor Bears	17:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

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