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Current Win Probability
New England Patriots 41.1%
Cincinnati Bengals 58.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Patriots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati Bengals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
0%
55.6%
New England Patriots - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 32.6% โ 78.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:7
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).
New England has currently - 7-7, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.
Cincinnati has currently - 10-4, was already of playoffs, has a good chance of win division (66%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (12%).
This event has big quality82, big importance84, big match rating83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches New England is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cincinnati is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Cincinnati will have a poor advantage in this game.
Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.61.
Last 4 head-to-head matches New England won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 118-60.
Including matches at home between the teams New England won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78-34.
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