Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport


	New York Jets		Detroit Lions

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.84	2.04
	1.81	2.02
	1.85	2.07
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.77	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (WNYW ‚Äì New York, NY)

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Current Win Probability

New York Jets
52.5%

Detroit Lions
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Jets's form might have worsened.

Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

New York Jets - Detroit Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. NY Jets will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Detroit will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

NY Jets has currently - 7-6, has a chance of playoffs (33%), has a very small chance of win division (0.3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Detroit has currently - 6-7, has a chance of playoffs (25%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has quality 35, big importance 88, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches NY Jets is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Detroit is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Jets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 91-106.

Including matches at home between the teams NY Jets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Jets
NFL
11.12.22	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	20:12 ✺
04.12.22	Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets	27:22 ✺
27.11.22	New York Jets - Chicago Bears	31:10 ✺
20.11.22	New England Patriots - New York Jets	10:3 ✺
06.11.22	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW
- Detroit Lions
NFL
11.12.22	Detroit Lions - Minnesota Vikings	34:23 ✺
04.12.22	Detroit Lions - Jacksonville Jaguars	40:14 ✺
24.11.22	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	25:28 ✺
20.11.22	New York Giants - Detroit Lions	18:31 ✺
13.11.22	Chicago Bears - Detroit Lions	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
10.09.18	Detroit Lions - New York Jets	17:48
19.08.17	Detroit Lions - New York Jets	16:6
13.08.15	Detroit Lions - New York Jets	23:3
28.09.14	New York Jets - Detroit Lions	17:24
09.08.13	Detroit Lions - New York Jets	26:17

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