Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Washington Commanders		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.31
	3.5	1.34
	3.35	1.33
	3.35	1.37
	3.45	1.34
	3.68	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)

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Current Win Probability

Washington Commanders
27.8%

Kansas City Chiefs
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	0%	93.1%

Washington Commanders - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: Kansas City Chiefs will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:31

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Kansas City has currently - 2-3, has a good chance of playoffs (64%), has a chance of win division (19%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Washington has currently - 2-3, has a chance of playoffs (18%), has a small chance of win division (10%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.2%), has a very small chance of win league (0.5%).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Washington is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-74.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Commanders
NFL
10.10.21	Washington Commanders - New Orleans Saints	22:33 ✺
03.10.21	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	30:34 ✺
26.09.21	Buffalo Bills - Washington Commanders	43:21 ✺
16.09.21	Washington Commanders - New York Giants	30:29 ✺
12.09.21	Washington Commanders - Los Angeles Chargers	16:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
10.10.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	20:38 ✺
03.10.21	Philadelphia Eagles - Kansas City Chiefs	30:42 ✺
26.09.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers	24:30 ✺
19.09.21	Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs	36:35 ✺
12.09.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
02.10.17	Kansas City Chiefs - Washington Commanders	29:20
08.12.13	Washington Commanders - Kansas City Chiefs	10:45

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