The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows 68.2%
Draw 2.7%
Western Bulldogs 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.8%
1.2%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
91.4%
0.9%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+23.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:55
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (19 - 13)
01:50, Fogarty D. (G),
05:08, Dale B. (Behind),
06:09, Naughton A. (Behind),
07:22, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
09:04, (Behind Rushed),
10:25, Richards E. (G),
15:03, West R. (Behind),
17:47, Keays B. (Behind),
18:37, Keays B. (G),
20:08, (Behind Rushed),
22:56, (Behind Rushed),
25:22, Cook B. (G),
2nd Quarter (25 - 25)
05:26, Rachele J. (G),
07:59, Freijah J. (G),
09:54, Jones A. (G),
11:53, Naughton A. (G),
17:56, Cook B. (G),
23:21, Weightman C. (Behind),
24:09, Ah Chee C. (G),
25:48, Rachele J. (G),
27:40, Jones A. (G),
30:08, Rachele J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (15 - 2)
02:26, Rachele J. (Behind),
04:26, Rankine I. (G),
07:19, Keays B. (G),
17:01, (Behind Rushed),
21:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
23:16, Soligo J. (Behind),
25:07, Naughton A. (Behind),
4th Quarter (31 - 28)
00:19, (Behind Rushed),
01:42, Lewis W. (G),
04:14, Lewis W. (G),
07:01, Richards E. (G),
08:42, Naughton A. (Behind),
12:05, Thiltorpe R. (G),
14:44, Walker T. (G),
17:53, Khamis B. (Behind),
20:08, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
22:37, Fogarty D. (G),
26:57, Richards E. (Behind),
28:15, Rankine I. (G),
31:02, Rachele J. (G),
32:20, Sanders R. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Western may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Adelaide is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1467:1475. (average 81.5:81.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 446:265. (average 74.3:44.2).