Match Info
AFL - Round 1Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Geelong Cats |
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Fremantle Dockers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.47 |
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2.7 |
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1.45 |
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2.45 |
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Watch |
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1.45 |
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2.55 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↑ (1.44) |
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2.57 ↓ (2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 63.8% | Fremantle Dockers 36.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:84 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (19 - 52)
- 01:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:26, Bolton S. (G),
- 03:40, Erasmus N. (Behind),
- 04:49, Cameron J. (G),
- 07:30, Bruhn T. (Behind),
- 09:30, Serong C. (G),
- 11:01, Amiss J. (G),
- 13:36, Erasmus N. (Behind),
- 16:26, Dudley I. (G),
- 18:14, Dudley I. (Behind),
- 20:05, Neale S. (G),
- 23:49, Treacy J. (G),
- 25:40, Clark J. (G),
- 28:05, Jackson L. (G),
- 31:31, O'Driscoll N. (G),
- 35:42, Bolton S. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (33 - 22)
- 00:30, Mannagh S. (G),
- 04:56, Switkowski S. (Behind),
- 06:36, Mannagh S. (G),
- 09:06, Mannagh S. (G),
- 11:27, Dudley I. (G),
- 12:51, Reid M. (G),
- 14:05, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 15:42, Martin J. (Behind),
- 17:18, Treacy J. (G),
- 18:56, Reid M. (Behind),
- 23:13, Voss P. (Behind),
- 25:01, Treacy J. (Behind),
- 26:38, Cameron J. (G),
- 28:12, Cameron J. (G),
- 30:57, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (34 - 22)
- 02:26, Henry J. (G),
- 04:31, Young H. (G),
- 06:07, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:16, Neale S. (G),
- 11:13, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 12:22, Neale S. (G),
- 14:28, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 15:16, Neale S. (G),
- 18:46, Martin J. (Behind),
- 19:21, Dudley I. (Behind),
- 22:06, Dudley I. (G),
- 24:05, Brayshaw A. (G),
- 25:58, Clark J. (Behind),
- 27:10, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 28:45, Serong C. (Behind),
- 29:37, Reid M. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (24 - 4)
- 00:58, Holmes M. (Behind),
- 03:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:18, Reid M. (Behind),
- 05:33, Smith B. (G),
- 07:20, Voss P. (Behind),
- 08:37, Martin J. (G),
- 12:31, Neale S. (G),
- 15:51, Voss P. (Behind),
- 20:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:21, Neale S. (Behind),
- 22:51, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 23:44, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 24:25, Cameron J. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Geelong will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1574:1339. (average 78.7:67).Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 887:716. (average 88.7:71.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 14.03.25 | Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers | 147:69 | | 10.08.24 | Fremantle Dockers - Geelong Cats | 62:73 | | 28.07.23 | Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers | 64:71 | | 20.05.23 | Fremantle Dockers - Geelong Cats | 106:77 | | 29.04.22 | Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers | 66:69 | | 15.07.21 | Fremantle Dockers - Geelong Cats | 31:100 | | 27.07.20 | Fremantle Dockers - Geelong Cats | 16:48 |
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