The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 32.1%
Fremantle Dockers 67.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
61.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Bulldogs's form might have worsened.
Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fremantle Dockers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Western Bulldogs - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fremantle will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:101
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (39 - 13)
00:35, Richards E. (G),
03:25, Lewis W. (G),
05:56, (Behind Rushed),
08:42, Gallagher H. (Behind),
11:12, Switkowski S. (G),
15:39, Naughton A. (G),
17:33, Jackson L. (G),
19:15, West R. (G),
20:19, Jackson L. (Behind),
24:02, Gallagher H. (Behind),
27:19, Naughton A. (G),
29:00, McNeil L. (G),
2nd Quarter (21 - 33)
01:44, Dudley I. (G),
03:28, Frederick M. (G),
05:26, Bontempelli M. (G),
07:02, Treacy J. (Behind),
09:53, West R. (G),
13:04, Switkowski S. (G),
19:01, Jones A. (Behind),
20:30, Cox M. (Behind),
21:21, Vandermeer L. (G),
22:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
23:49, (Behind Rushed),
25:07, Erasmus N. (G),
29:41, Lewis W. (Behind),
30:46, Reid M. (G),
3rd Quarter (15 - 33)
04:50, Naughton A. (Behind),
06:01, Treacy J. (Behind),
06:44, (Behind Rushed),
08:38, Sanders R. (G),
11:36, Switkowski S. (G),
16:17, Amiss J. (Behind),
17:56, Treacy J. (G),
24:12, Lewis W. (G),
25:13, Young H. (G),
27:03, Treacy J. (G),
28:54, Young H. (G),
30:20, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
31:32, Amiss J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (27 - 35)
01:24, (Behind Rushed),
04:02, (Behind Rushed),
04:52, Bolton S. (Behind),
05:50, Chapman H. (G),
07:01, Young H. (G),
08:43, Treacy J. (G),
10:39, Treacy J. (Behind),
11:34, Brayshaw A. (G),
13:25, Jones A. (G),
16:17, Jones A. (Behind),
18:29, Bramble L. (G),
19:42, Bontempelli M. (G),
23:32, Cox M. (Behind),
25:55, Jackson L. (Behind),
26:49, McNeil L. (G),
29:09, Bolton S. (G),
33:31, Amiss J. (Behind),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
Western has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fremantle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fremantle is considered a favorite.
We predict that Fremantle will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1638:1705. (average 81.9:85.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 859:762. (average 95.4:84.7).
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