Match Info
AFL - Round 9Date: 8 May 2026, FridayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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Brisbane Lions |
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Carlton Blues |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.09 |
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7.5 |
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1.1 |
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5.8 |
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Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.1 ↓ (1.13) |
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6.65 ↑ (6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-43)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions 85.9% | Carlton Blues 14.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:71 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (29 - 15)
- 01:03, Neale L. (Behind),
- 03:55, Reville B. (Behind),
- 12:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:35, McKay H. (Behind),
- 15:25, Morris L. (G),
- 16:54, Reville B. (Behind),
- 18:22, Hayward W. (G),
- 20:02, Morris L. (G),
- 21:34, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 24:42, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 25:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:47, Cameron C. (G),
- 27:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:29, Hayward W. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (27 - 3)
- 00:44, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 02:22, Draper S. (G),
- 09:06, Morris L. (Behind),
- 11:12, Fort D. (G),
- 13:00, Cameron C. (G),
- 16:57, Draper S. (Behind),
- 19:55, Kemp B. (Behind),
- 21:27, Morris L. (G),
- 23:06, McGovern M. (Behind),
- 27:00, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 39)
- 00:43, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 03:11, Lohmann K. (G),
- 06:04, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
- 08:51, Evans F. (Behind),
- 10:42, McCluggage H. (G),
- 13:06, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 16:05, Morris L. (G),
- 18:20, Smith J. (G),
- 23:12, Cripps P. (G),
- 25:40, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 26:45, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 27:54, Dunkley J. (Behind),
- 29:11, McKenna C. (Behind),
- 30:13, McGovern M. (G),
- 31:38, McGovern M. (G),
- 4th Quarter (23 - 32)
- 01:11, McKay H. (G),
- 02:27, Lohmann K. (G),
- 04:35, Fort D. (Behind),
- 09:01, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
- 09:35, Neale L. (Behind),
- 13:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:18, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 20:33, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
- 21:25, McKay H. (G),
- 23:03, McKay H. (Behind),
- 25:33, McGovern M. (G),
- 27:01, Hayward W. (G),
- 28:03, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 28:44, Neale L. (G),
- 31:56, McKay H. (G),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.Brisbane is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Carlton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Brisbane is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1837:1465. (average 91.9:73.3).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1100:850. (average 100:77.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 10.07.25 | Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions | 66:103 | | 07.09.24 | Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues | 99:71 | | 08.03.24 | Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues | 85:86 | | 23.09.23 | Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues | 79:63 | | 05.05.23 | Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions | 74:100 | | 07.08.22 | Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues | 114:81 | | 24.04.21 | Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions | 85:103 |
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